FIRSTCTI24: Early Warning Intelligence & Forecasting Workshop Materials
Material for my workshop on FIRSTCTI24 is now available free for download!
This workshop introduces Early Warning Intelligence (EWI), a predictive approach that orchestrates cyber defense by anticipating threats before they materialize. Incorporating structured analytical techniques, we will explore two distinct methodologies for constructing an EWI system: profile-driven and correlation-guided research approaches, drawing from practical examples and previously published works.
The workshop will not only dissect these methods but will also argue for the integration of temporary countermeasures—a concept introduced to adjust cyber defense dynamically in response to elevated threat levels. Examples include tweaking rate limits and bot scores, configuring increased resources, and temporarily disabling features to mitigate impact, showcasing a shift from static to adaptive security postures.